Endgame - Lessons from Afghanistan Torbjørn L. Knutsen.

Presentasjon om: "Endgame - Lessons from Afghanistan Torbjørn L. Knutsen."— Utskrift av presentasjonen:

1 Endgame - Lessons from Afghanistan Torbjørn L. Knutsen

2  Lessons learned for the Alliance  – and the allied nations  - useful lessons  - for future operations

3 Armed conflicts in 2011

4 Lessons: Fjellvettreglene (The mountain code”)  Legg ikke ut på langtur uten trening.  Meld fra hvor du går.  Vis respekt for været og værmeldingen.  Vær rustet mot uvær og kulde selv på korte turer.  Lytt til erfarne fjellfolk.  Bruk kart og kompass.  Gå ikke alene.  Vend i tide. Det er ingen skam å snu.  Spar på kreftene. Grav deg ned i snøen om nødvendig.

5 Intervensjonsvettreglene (Nine sensible rules for invading small countries)  Don’t embark on a long trip without training  Report where you are heading  Show respect for the weather …  Be prepared for bad weather – even on short trips  Listen to experienced people  Use map and compass  Never go alone  Turn back in time  Save your energy. Dig a shelter in the snow if need be

6 Nine rules for military intervention   1 Get a clear mandate  2 Get to know the conflict  3 Get to know what you can do about it  4 Develop a grand strategy  5 Military force is no solution by itself

7 Nine rules for military intervention  6 Keep goals and ambitions in line  7 Keep rhetoric modest  8 Allied coordination is always a problem  9 Establish formal routines for learning

8 Differences within the alliance ... differences in national character/culture ... different degrees in domestic consensus ... differences in ambitions and aims ... differences in power ... differences in goals ... differences in lessons drawn

9 Lessons learned  Academic lessons  vs  Political lessons

10 The end