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© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Trinity - An Approach to Trading Shares Udo Stegen © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust.

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Presentasjon om: "© 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Trinity - An Approach to Trading Shares Udo Stegen © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust."— Utskrift av presentasjonen:

1 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Trinity - An Approach to Trading Shares Udo Stegen © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust

2 Trinity - What Does It Do? u Identifies possible change of trend u Suggests entry u Suggests exit u No guarantee, only probabilities u Determine “DNA” of a stock

3 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Trinity - What’s in it for ME? u Chart templates –Daily, IntraDay, Weekly u Three kinds of indicators –A/D, Stochastic, MACD/EMA u Entry and exit rules –based on stock’s DNA

4 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Evolution u “KISS” - Keep It Simple, Stupid! u Find a turning point u It’s easy on the left...

5 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Anything else I need to know? u SMLC: Share Market Life Cycle –get Warren’s video u Trends, Charts, Market Depth –Market Analyser (upgrade to Pro) u Study your stocks (DNA)

6 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Agenda u SMLC stages (5 minutes) u Trinity Indicators (15 minutes) u Long trades (15 minutes) u Short trades (15 minutes) u Scans and Charts in MA Pro (15 minutes) u Break (10 minutes) u Q & A (15 minutes)

7 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust SMLC Stages u What does a share price do? –it falls (Stage 1) –it moves sideways (Stage 2) –it rises (Stage 3) –it moves sideways (Stage 4) u This happens on any time scale

8 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Weekly Chart

9 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust IntraDay Chart

10 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Daily Chart

11 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Trading between TP34s

12 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust When do TPs Lock In?

13 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Indicator Classes u Volume-Price combination –Accumulation, Distribution u Momentum, i.e. strength of price change –Stochastic, Rate of Change u History Averages –MACD, EMA

14 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Turning Predicted

15 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Turning Confirmed

16 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust A Strong Trend

17 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Long Trades u Accu: Stock is down u Volume: Interest coming in u Stochastic: predicts u MACD crosses Signal: Attention! u MACD crosses Zero: We’re away!

18 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust RIO – Textbook Long

19 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Testing our Patience

20 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Not a strong Entry

21 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Support/Resistance u Four Major Levels 1.Last Low before Turn 2.Close on day before Turn 3.Low on day after Turn 4.FTFF Level

22 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Example Key Levels

23 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Example EMA Levels

24 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Example Fibonacci Levels

25 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Short Trading u Approach: Mirror Long –D34 instead of A34 –Stochastic falls below 80% –MACD falls through Signal and zero u Caution: Be aware that - –Stocks fall faster than they rise –Optimists may start buying early –False support signals when bids are pulled

26 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Example: CSL Jan 2002

27 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust CSL: The BIG Picture

28 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Analyser Scans u MA Pro is fast nearing completion u Users can write Personal Scans (or subscribe to extensions supplied by others) u Scans can be added as Chart Indicators u Indicators can build Trading Systems u Trading Systems can be back-tested

29 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Trinity Scans u Result of 7/07/2004 (Long) – –CEP.AX – –CENTRO PROPS – –$4.23 – –Trinity-L.Classic suggests Long: A34 and S OK 2 days ago. MACD x zero on the last day. Current Close EMA all up; line-up HALF ok ** *** Av.Volume DOWN

30 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Trinity Scans u Result of 7/07/2004 (Short) – –PBG.AX – –PACIFIC BRANDS – –$2.70 – –Trinity-S.Classic suggests Short: D55 and S OK 1 day ago. MACD x Signal on the last day. Current Close EMA 1 *UP*; line-up NOT OK *** Turnover < 80% ***

31 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Trinity Scan – CEP Long

32 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Trinity Scan – PBG Short

33 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Trinity as Chart Indicator

34 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Trinity Chart for ANZ

35 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Trinity Chart for WES

36 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Summary u You learned - –to identify a stock’s SMLC Stage –to interpret a Chart with templates –to check a stock’s DNA u You can adapt Trinity –to your favourite stocks –to your own trading style u Don’t forget Money Management!

37 © 2004 by Rettmer Trading Trust Acknowledgement, Sources u Members Forum Search for Trinity; how much time do you have? u Education Section Technical Indicators; check out Stochastic and MACD u Fellow Traders and Group members A rthur, B art, C ool Hippo, D avid,... W arren


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